
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2002                  & -0.060               & -0.007                & -0.088$^{***}$        & -0.053$^{*}$   &                & 0.135$^{**}$   & 0.034\\   
                                                              & (0.051)              & (0.016)               & (0.022)               & (0.021)        &                & (0.046)        & (0.029)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2005                  & -0.069               & -0.028                & -0.061$^{***}$        & 0.033$^{*}$    &                & 0.004          & 0.081$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.043)              & (0.022)               & (0.017)               & (0.016)        &                & (0.040)        & (0.028)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2009                  & 0.042                & -0.008                & -0.089$^{***}$        & 0.078$^{**}$   &                & -0.061         & 0.040\\   
                                                              & (0.026)              & (0.030)               & (0.016)               & (0.025)        &                & (0.032)        & (0.021)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & Far-right\\  
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}



\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{Main effects}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
                                                              & spd                  & fdp                   & gruene                & linke\_pds     & afd            & cdu\_csu       & far\_right\\   
                                                              & (1)                  & (2)                   & (3)                   & (4)            & (5)            & (6)            & (7)\\  
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2017                  & 0.079$^{*}$          & -0.042$^{*}$          & -0.011                & -0.087$^{***}$ & 0.228$^{***}$  & -0.158$^{***}$ & 0.212$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.035)              & (0.019)               & (0.014)               & (0.023)        & (0.052)        & (0.044)        & (0.047)\\   
      Brown share $\times$ Election $=$ 2021                  & 0.067                & 0.047$^{*}$           & -0.269$^{***}$        & -0.052$^{*}$   & 0.279$^{***}$  & -0.160$^{*}$   & 0.261$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.046)              & (0.023)               & (0.040)               & (0.022)        & (0.049)        & (0.068)        & (0.044)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002  & 0.003                & 0.0005                & 0.003$^{**}$          & 0.001          &                & -0.005$^{*}$   & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0006)              & (0.001)               & (0.0009)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005  & 0.003                & 0.0006                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.003         & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009  & $3.6\times 10^{-5}$  & 0.0004                & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.0001        &                & -0.0003        & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.001)               & (0.0007)              & (0.001)        &                & (0.001)        & (0.0008)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017  & -0.002               & $8.46\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.001$^{*}$          & -0.0003        & 0.002          & 0.003          & 0.0006\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share of manufacturing 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021  & -0.002               & 0.0003                & $4.81\times 10^{-5}$  & -0.0005        & 0.004$^{*}$    & 0.002          & 0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0009)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2002      & 0.004$^{***}$        & -0.001$^{**}$         & 0.003$^{***}$         & -0.004$^{***}$ &                & 0.002          & -0.004$^{**}$\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0004)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0010)       &                & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2005      & 0.003$^{**}$         & -0.003$^{***}$        & 0.001                 & -0.002$^{**}$  &                & 0.003$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0006)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0007)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2009      & -0.002$^{*}$         & -0.006$^{***}$        & 0.002$^{***}$         & 0.001          &                & 0.006$^{***}$  & -0.002$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.0008)             & (0.001)               & (0.0005)              & (0.0006)       &                & (0.001)        & (0.0007)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2017      & -0.010$^{***}$       & 0.0002                & -0.002$^{*}$          & 0.002$^{***}$  & 0.006$^{*}$    & 0.005$^{***}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.0009)             & (0.0005)              & (0.0008)              & (0.0007)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Population density 2013 $\times$ Election $=$ 2021      & -0.013$^{***}$       & -0.0003               & 0.009$^{***}$         & -0.002$^{*}$   & 0.004          & 0.010$^{***}$  & -0.001\\   
                                                              & (0.001)              & (0.0005)              & (0.001)               & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.001)        & (0.001)\\   
      Household income                                        & 0.005                & 0.002                 & -0.003                & -0.004$^{*}$   & -0.003         & 0.0002         & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      GDP per capita                                          & -0.0007              & 0.003$^{***}$         & 0.006$^{***}$         & 0.003$^{**}$   & -0.010$^{**}$  & -0.004         & -0.004$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.002)               & (0.001)        & (0.004)        & (0.003)        & (0.002)\\   
      Share manufacturing                                     & 0.008$^{**}$         & -0.002                & -0.002                & -0.003         & 0.003          & -0.009$^{**}$  & 0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.005)        & (0.004)        & (0.002)\\   
      Population density                                      & 0.048$^{***}$        & -0.007                & 0.036$^{***}$         & 0.032$^{***}$  & -0.124$^{***}$ & -0.042$^{***}$ & -0.045$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.011)              & (0.005)               & (0.010)               & (0.008)        & (0.034)        & (0.012)        & (0.013)\\   
      Population                                              & 0.009                & 0.003                 & -0.005                & -0.010         & -0.042$^{**}$  & 0.024$^{*}$    & -0.027$^{*}$\\   
                                                              & (0.009)              & (0.003)               & (0.007)               & (0.007)        & (0.014)        & (0.011)        & (0.011)\\   
      Share high school graduates                             & -0.003               & -0.0009               & 0.0008                & 0.0007         & 0.0005         & 0.005$^{*}$    & -0.002\\   
                                                              & (0.002)              & (0.0007)              & (0.0009)              & (0.0008)       & (0.002)        & (0.002)        & (0.001)\\   
      Unemployment rate                                       & 0.003                & 0.002$^{*}$           & 0.005$^{**}$          & 0.004$^{*}$    & -0.038$^{***}$ & -0.004         & -0.012$^{***}$\\   
                                                              & (0.003)              & (0.001)               & (0.002)               & (0.002)        & (0.007)        & (0.003)        & (0.003)\\   
      county FE                                               & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      Election-regbez FE                                      & Yes                  & Yes                   & Yes                   & Yes            & Yes            & Yes            & Yes\\  
      R$^2$                                                   & 0.990                & 0.981                 & 0.979                 & 0.991          & 0.979          & 0.989          & 0.982\\  
      Observations                                            & 2,296                & 2,296                 & 2,296                 & 2,296          & 1,185          & 2,296          & 2,296\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Clustered (county) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{8}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05}}\\
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}


